The pink graph below, which is 'fitted' to the actual Australian new cases a day using the values input into the pink box to the left of the chart, suggests that the apparent R0 is falling from 1.5 (the brown fitted graph) to about 1.25 (the pink graph). However, it is still too early to call a change of trend because the trend-line, shown in a graph yesterday, remain unbroken.
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AuthorDr Michael Cole FRACP LLB Archives
September 2021
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